Michael Carter 
A new Redfin–Ipsos survey finds one in four Americans are putting big-ticket buys like homes or cars on hold due to the conflict with Iran, yet a majority report no change to their purchase plans. Economic worries over tariffs and job security remain much more influential than geopolitics in shaping consumer housing decisions.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are grabbing a larger slice of the market just as interest rates ease, driven by high home prices and buyers prioritizing short‑term affordability over long‑term payment stability. In expensive coastal markets and among jumbo loans, ARMs have shifted from a niche product to a central financing strategy.
After three weeks of declines, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has nudged back up to 6%, closely tracking a rise in the 10-year Treasury yield driven by higher oil prices and renewed inflation concerns.
Taxpayers claiming key child and earned income credits are seeing slower refunds as the IRS holds those returns for extra review. Many who filed electronically with direct deposit could see funds early this week.
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran says the case for continued interest-rate cuts remains intact, even as conflict in the Middle East clouds the economic outlook and rattles oil markets. His stance contrasts with more cautious Fed voices worried about uncertainty and inflation risks.